{"id":15556,"date":"2025-09-12T14:36:03","date_gmt":"2025-09-12T07:36:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/?p=15556"},"modified":"2025-09-12T14:36:04","modified_gmt":"2025-09-12T07:36:04","slug":"tfp-trong-giai-doan-tang-truong-gdp-cao-mui-ten-trung-hai-dich","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/tfp-trong-giai-doan-tang-truong-gdp-cao-mui-ten-trung-hai-dich\/","title":{"rendered":"TFP trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP cao: m\u0169i t\u00ean tr\u00fang hai \u0111\u00edch"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong><em>(KTSG) &#8211; Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011-2024, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m trong \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y mang h\u00e0m \u00fd, \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng l\u00ean t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\" id=\"attachment_1118694\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.thesaigontimes.vn\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/may-mac-tk-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1118694\"\/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ba y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 v\u1ed1n, lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p. \u1ea2nh minh h\u1ecda: DNCC<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 TFP<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng Solow (kinh t\u1ebf gia M\u1ef9 Robert Solow), t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o ba y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh: v\u1ed1n, lao \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p (TFP). Trong \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 TFP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201c\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2026-2030 t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u201d thu\u1ed9c nh\u00f3m Ki\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb qu\u00ed 2-2025 cho m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh v\u00e0 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, do c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf thu\u1ed9c \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c d\u00e2n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n, \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 TFP. Theo c\u00e1c t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011-2024, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o k\u1ebft c\u1ea5u h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam t\u0103ng c\u1ea3 quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh kho\u1ea3ng 12,2%\/n\u0103m. Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 thu\u1eadn chi\u1ec1u gi\u1eefa t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng v\u00e0 GDP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn r\u00f5 n\u00e9t trong c\u00e1c giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kinh t\u1ebf (c\u00e1c n\u0103m 2015-2019 v\u00e0 2022-2024); c\u00f2n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2020-2021, giai \u0111o\u1ea1n m\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19, hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u0169ng trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng d\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p TFP v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn. Theo c\u00e1c t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3, trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011-2015, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP dao \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb 29,1-33,5%, cho th\u1ea5y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o t\u00edch l\u0169y v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n l\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o. M\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y c\u00f2n m\u1edd nh\u1ea1t, ph\u1ea3n \u1ea3nh t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u201ctheo chi\u1ec1u r\u1ed9ng\u201d thay v\u00ec \u201ctheo chi\u1ec1u s\u00e2u\u201d.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ebfn giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2016-2020, v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng, TFP \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p trung b\u00ecnh 45,2% v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP. Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2021-2024, \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch Covid-19 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP, d\u00f9 v\u1eady, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i cao v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean 37,5% v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t 45,5% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi s\u00e1ng t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng s\u1ed1, y t\u1ebf c\u00f4ng c\u1ed9ng, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e1i t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 xanh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u00e1c t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a b\u00e1o c\u00e1o nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao, tr\u00ean 45% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2024, ti\u1ec7m c\u1eadn v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng m\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1ed9i sinh x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o v\u1ed1n sang t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n h\u1ec7 s\u1ed1 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 (ICOR) v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng cao TFP th\u00f4ng qua \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u00f3 tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 v\u00e0o h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng s\u1ed1, gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c &#8211; \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o, logistics v\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u0103n b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>V\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 TFP<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>B\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201cV\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf: Khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch cho m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai con s\u1ed1\u201d, c\u0169ng thu\u1ed9c nh\u00f3m Ki\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb qu\u00ed 2-2025 cho m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nhanh v\u00e0 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c d\u00e2n, \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn kh\u00e1c v\u1ec1 TFP. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 \u01b0\u1edbc l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng c\u1ea5p t\u1ec9nh\/th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2020-2022 (tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ecba gi\u1edbi h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1-7-2025). Giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh s\u1ed1 h\u00f3a d\u1eef li\u1ec7u hay chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1 b\u1edfi nhi\u1ec1u ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n sang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1ef1c tuy\u1ebfn. D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ba y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o ch\u00ednh: lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u1ed1n h\u1eefu h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, TFP \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n d\u01b0, t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1edfi ba y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o tr\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Theo nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, x\u00e9t theo t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, trong c\u00e1c n\u0103m 2021 v\u00e0 2022, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p t\u1eeb v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0: TPHCM (9% v\u00e0 5,8%); H\u1ea3i Ph\u00f2ng (8,5% v\u00e0 7,3%); \u0110\u00e0 N\u1eb5ng (6,6% v\u00e0 5,3%); H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i (6,3% v\u00e0 13%); C\u1ea7n Th\u01a1 (6,2% v\u00e0 8,8%). Theo nh\u00f3m nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, tr\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a C\u1ea7n Th\u01a1 n\u0103m 2021, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u1edf c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i so v\u1edbi lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, v\u1ed1n h\u1eefu h\u00ecnh v\u00e0 TFP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh TFP, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, khi t\u00e1ch bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 TFP, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP gi\u1ea3m \u0111i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. PGS.TS. L\u00ea Quang C\u1ea3nh, Vi\u1ec7n tr\u01b0\u1edfng Vi\u1ec7n Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c d\u00e2n, gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch TFP l\u00e0 ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p cho GDP c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i sau khi tr\u1eeb \u0111i \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 lao \u0111\u1ed9ng, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 trong TFP t\u00ednh theo c\u00e1ch truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u. N\u1ebfu t\u00e1ch ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0y ra, ph\u1ea7n TFP c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i gi\u1ea3m \u0111i, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111ang c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn trong ph\u1ea7n TFP theo c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Qua nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh vai tr\u00f2 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP, \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a ngu\u1ed3n t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean n\u00e0y, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch huy \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 khai th\u00e1c v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0: x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u qu\u1ed1c gia; x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u1ea3o m\u1eadt v\u00e0 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd d\u1eef li\u1ec7u h\u1ee3p l\u00fd; th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y chia s\u1ebb v\u00e0 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u; x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1p l\u00fd linh ho\u1ea1t v\u00e0 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 vi\u1ec7c n\u00e2ng cao tr\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed9 \u201cs\u1ed1\u201d cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n th\u00f4ng qua m\u1ed9t ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1ec1 \u201cv\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u\u201d&#8230;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi TFP, theo c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, trong c\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf, v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec1u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1edbi TFP, theo c\u00e1ch tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp ho\u1eb7c gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp. Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi (2021) \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia khai th\u00e1c v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng TFP th\u00eam 1-2% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>M\u0169i t\u00ean tr\u00fang hai \u0111\u00edch<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nh\u00ecn v\u00e0o quan h\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a TFP v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p kh\u1ea3 thi nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 khai th\u00e1c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00eau tr\u00ean v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng. Nh\u00f3m t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u201c\u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2026-2030 t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam\u201d g\u1ee3i \u00fd, kinh nghi\u1ec7m t\u1eeb c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf cao nh\u01b0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Singapore cho th\u1ea5y vai tr\u00f2 then ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o l\u1eadp c\u01a1 s\u1edf v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t ban \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u1edf n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c d\u1eabn \u0111\u1eaft c\u00e1c chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i kinh t\u1ebf mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, m\u1ed9t l\u00e0, t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u &#8211; ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao; hai l\u00e0, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u1ebft c\u1ea5u h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9, hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i, trong \u0111\u00f3 \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u00e1c h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i li\u00ean v\u00f9ng, logistics v\u00e0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i s\u1ed1; ba l\u00e0, \u01b0u ti\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 cho gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao; b\u1ed1n l\u00e0, h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng xanh v\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Mu\u1ed1n v\u1eady, theo c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u201cxin &#8211; cho\u201d ho\u1eb7c \u201cc\u00e0o b\u1eb1ng\u201d sang c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 kinh t\u1ebf &#8211; x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i, nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u00e0o TFP. \u0110\u1ecbnh h\u01b0\u1edbng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd ph\u00e1t huy hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 n\u1ebfu ch\u00fang ta ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed9 ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ebfn TFP, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1eef li\u1ec7u l\u1edbn v\u00e0 m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e1t huy vai tr\u00f2 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n d\u1eef li\u1ec7u, thi\u1ebft ngh\u0129, l\u1eddi gi\u1ea3i c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>T\u00e0i li\u1ec7u tham kh\u1ea3o:<\/em><br><em>&#8211; https:\/\/khoahoc.neu.edu.vn\/Resources\/Docs\/SubDomain\/khoahoc\/Ki\u1ebfn%20ngh\u1ecb\/2025\/8.%20Ki\u1ebfn%20ngh\u1ecb%20\u0110\u1ea7u%20t\u01b0%20c\u00f4ng-PGS.TS%20Ph\u1ea1m%20V\u0103n%20H\u00f9ng.pdf<\/em><br><em>&#8211; https:\/\/khoahoc.neu.edu.vn\/Resources\/Docs\/SubDomain\/khoahoc\/Ki\u1ebfn%20ngh\u1ecb\/2025\/7.%20Ki\u1ebfn%20ngh\u1ecb%20V\u1ed1n%20d\u1eef%20li\u1ec7u-PGS.TS%20L\u00ea%20Quang%20C\u1ea3nh.pdf<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-right\"><strong><em>Ngu\u1ed3n: T\u1ea1p ch\u00ed Kinh t\u1ebf S\u00e0i G\u00f2n<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(KTSG) &#8211; Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 2011-2024, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m trong \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y mang h\u00e0m \u00fd, \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng cao li\u00ean t\u1ee5c trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p c\u1ee7a TFP c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng l\u00ean t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng. \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng v\u00e0&#8230;<\/p>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":15557,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[54],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15556","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc-su-kien"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15556","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=15556"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15556\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15558,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15556\/revisions\/15558"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/15557"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=15556"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=15556"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/isd.neu.edu.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=15556"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}